- The Opta supercomputer has recalculated the chances of the three competitors
- Manchester City and Liverpool’s odds have changed after their weekend draw
- Arsenal are making mugs of us, they are showing they don’t need a No 9 and Kai Havertz has become Mikel Arteta’s go-to guy – It’s All Kicking Off podcast
Arsenal, Manchester City and Liverpool have all been given new calculated odds of winning the Premier League title this season.
The Gunners left it late on Saturday as Kai Havertz scored at the death to wrap up a 2-1 victory against Brentford and move Mikel Arteta’s side to the top of the English top-flight.
They kept their place at the summit after Liverpool and Man City both missed the chance to leapfrog them in a clash of the titans at Anfield on Sunday as they played out a thrilling 1-1 draw.
Arsenal’s Premier League title challenge was left in tatters during last season’s run-in and they now look a largely more complete unit under Arteta as they attempt to go stride-for-stride with City and Liverpool.
Their superior +46 goal difference narrowly sets them ahead of Jurgen Klopp’s side who are matched on 64 points, while reigning champions Man City trail just one point behind in the standings.
Arsenal’s chances of winning the Premier League have been recalculated after their weekend win over Brentford
Manchester City have seen their Premier League chances reduced after drawing at Anfield
Liverpool and Man City played out an enthralling 1-1 draw at Anfield on Sunday evening
Adjusting their figures following the latest round of Premier League fixtures, football data analysts Opta have recalculated the odds of Arsenal, City and Liverpool winning the league.
City boasted huge favourite status prior to their weekend draw at Anfield with the supercomputer initially giving Guardiola’s side a 51.4 per cent chance of winning the title.
Their hopes have now dropped to 45.9 per cent – a 5.5 per cent change – as Alexis Mac Allister’s penalty ensured the points were shared in the top-flight encounter.
Liverpool’s title-winning ambitions have only been given a miniscule -0.3 per cent change as predictions show the Reds have a 35.3 per cent chance of winning a second Premier League title.
Arsenal have the most to celebrate after the weekend but still remain the outsiders of the trio, with statisticians now giving them an 18.8 per cent chance of getting their hands on England’s most prestigious silverware.
The Opta supercomputer has given each of the three teams new chances of winning the Premier League
Liverpool’s chances of winning the Premier League dropped by less than one per cent after the weekend
Reds manager Jurgen Klopp wants to win the Premier League title for a second time before leaving Liverpool in the summer
Despite scoring 17 goals in their last three league games, Saturday’s win over Ivan Toney’s Brentford only raised their chances by 5.5 per cent.
One reason for Arsenal’s lowly comparison to their Premier League rivals could be due to them having the most difficult end-of-season run-in on paper.
The Gunners still have to travel to City, Manchester United and Tottenham, while the also have to host Chelsea.
Liverpool will also face United and Spurs in the run-in, while City’s final fixtures look more favourable, but they do still need to play Tottenham and Aston Villa are hosting Arsenal at the end of the month.
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